Tesla Model 2: Now it's supposed to come after all!
So, finally? Elon Musk is known for making grandiose promises and then later fulfilling them in a reduced manner or sometimes not at all. The same goes for the back-and-forth with the Model 2, the planned entry-level Tesla. Musk had temporarily canceled it in favor of his robotaxi: The robocab would bring more margin and had more future potential, according to Musk's explanations. However, such vehicles are exorbitantly expensive and will not generate large volumes for the foreseeable future – and they operate in a niche! At least there is a black-and-white sketch in Musk’s biography showing what such a robotaxi could look like: like a Cybertruck that came together with the first Honda Insight...
But back to the Model 2: As the Tesla lineup slowly ages with honor and Tesla sales are weakening worldwide, Musk can no longer present investors with new significant growth rates in deliveries and production; on the contrary, he must expect declines in all model series. Additionally, especially European, but also Asian high-volume manufacturers are positioning themselves in the electric vehicle segment between 20,000 and 30,000 Euro. For customers that Tesla can never reach.
The Model 2 would kill several birds with one stone
The Model 2 would kill several birds with one stone: It seeks to attract new customers and bring volume to further grow Tesla's sales. And Tesla can produce cheaply. We assume that Musk will use affordable LFP batteries like in the Model-3 base model, with which at least 400 km range according to WLTP can be achieved. Tesla can be efficient and cheap. Musk once raved about 480 kilometers, which might apply to a more expensive Long-Range version. For comparison: The eCMP models from Stellantis (Opel Corsa Electric and others) reach about 420 km with a 54 kWh battery according to WLTP.
If its size were around 4.5 meters, the car could be designed as a CUV and then Musk could sell it in the USA too. It could be built on all continents, preferably in low-wage countries. The planned Gigas in India and Mexico are still pending here. And of course, the Model 2 would be built using Gigacasting, meaning: the front, rear, and middle sections would each come as a single large segment. However, an additional crash box at the front and rear would be helpful to keep insurance costs from getting out of hand. This would offer further potential to build cars cheaply.
According to the latest information, production could start in 2025 – however, no prototypes have been sighted so far – and they should already be out there...
What does that mean?
Basically, Tesla needs the Model 2, which could clearly become the major volume driver worldwide in the future. Currently, we assume that Elon Musk sees it the same way and that the vehicle will likely come. Because robotaxis alone not only cost customers a lot of money – with very limited numbers...
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