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T&E Study: E-vans Cheaper Than Diesel - but in Short Supply
E-transporters are overall more cost-effective than comparable diesel models. This conclusion is drawn by a new study on acquisition and usage costs in Germany, commissioned by the environmental umbrella organization Transport & Environment (T&E) from the Dataforce Institute. Furthermore, it points to another internal survey indicating that most potential van buyers in Europe would opt for electric drives. However, currently, not enough e-transporters are available, so their market share in Germany is only five percent, significantly lower than that of e-cars (13.5 percent). The organization forecasts that the demand for electric transporters will also exceed the supply by 2030, unless the emission reduction targets for transporters proposed by the EU are significantly tightened. On average, e-transporters are already 28 percent cheaper per kilometer in acquisition and operation than an average diesel transporter.
Fleets in Germany: One-Fifth Already with E-Van
The study examined conditions in six countries where 76 percent of all new van sales in Europe are made: France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Spain, and the United Kingdom. It includes answers from 127 individuals and companies and, according to the NGO, demonstrates that the German market is ready for the switch to electric vehicles. More than a fifth (21 percent) of the fleet managers surveyed in Germany stated that they already have an electric model. An additional 41 percent plan to acquire an e-transporter either this year or within the next five years.
“E-transporters outperform diesel alternatives in terms of costs, and buyers know this. But simply not enough e-transporters are available. EU lawmakers could change this overnight by increasing the CO2 reduction targets. As a result, transporter manufacturers would have to sell more zero-emission vehicles,” outlines James Nix, Freight Manager at T&E.
Insufficient Supply, Moderate CO2 Ambitions
Despite the cost advantages and significant customer interest, there is simply not enough supply of electric transporters to meet the growing demand. Sales figures in the electric transporter sector are increasing only very slowly – from two percent in 2019 to a market share of just three percent in EU-wide new sales. The CO2 limits proposed by the EU – which do not foresee any changes to the existing levels for the 2020s – have not prompted manufacturers to increase the share of electric transporters sold to more than ten percent by the end of the decade, believes the NGO. Stricter CO2 targets at the EU level for this decade, on the other hand, could put an additional one million electric transporters on the road in the next five years, according to T&E's calculations.
Ecology and Economy: Massive Cost Advantages
At the same time, a total of 5.6 Mt CO2 would be saved by 2027 – equivalent to the annual total emissions of all Spanish transporters. Stricter CO2 values would also reduce the annual oil consumption of European transporters by 7 percent by 2027, believes the organization. This would be an important step towards overcoming the current dependency on imports from Russia. Even more ambitious targets would enable European companies to achieve savings of 13.1 billion euros from 2025-2030 due to the lower costs of electric transporters, the officials also advocate for the economic benefits.
“Electric transporters will free us from our dependency on oil and save companies billions of euros this decade alone. However, the current sparse supply of electric transporters on the market must be overcome. Member states and members of the European Parliament can pave the way for electric transporters by adjusting the EU's CO2 reduction targets for transporters," appeals James Nix.
The organization called on EU legislation to tighten the proposed CO2 targets for transporters, so that an average reduction in transporters' CO2 emissions by 25 percent by 2025 becomes mandatory, with further reductions of 45 percent by 2027 and 80 percent by 2030. Of paramount importance, however, is the European Commission's proposal that only zero-emission transporters be allowed from 2035 onwards. The EU Parliament and the environment ministers of the EU states will make decisions in the coming months and aim to set the final targets in the summer.
Translated automatically from German.
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