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T&E Analysis: Drastic Reduction of Fossil-Fuel Vehicle Kilometers Needed for Climate Targets

The environmental umbrella organization is urging the Ministry of Transport to subject infrastructure planning to a climate check. The climate targets seem distant given the current fossil emissions. Fossil-fueled journeys would need to decrease by 55 percent, and even including electric cars, vehicle kilometers would need to shrink by a quarter by 2030.

Down with fuel: According to a T&E study, fossil-fueled car trips must drastically decrease if climate targets in Germany are to be met. | Photo: AdobeStock
Down with fuel: According to a T&E study, fossil-fueled car trips must drastically decrease if climate targets in Germany are to be met. | Photo: AdobeStock
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Johannes Reichel

According to new calculations by the European environmental umbrella organization Transport & Environment (T&E), Germany would need to drastically reduce vehicle kilometers driven with fossil fuels to still achieve the federal government's climate targets in the transport sector. The fact that investments in Autobahn GmbH will rise by almost 500 million euros to more than 6 billion euros in the current budget plan, while a strict austerity policy applies otherwise, thwarts the climate targets in the transport sector, the NGO criticizes. According to the calculations, vehicle kilometers driven with internal combustion engines must decrease by 55 percent by 2030 compared to 2018 to still achieve the climate targets. Even an ambitious electrification of the vehicle fleet cannot fully compensate for this decrease. Including electric vehicles, vehicle kilometers would still need to be reduced by 24 percent by 2030. If road traffic performance remains unchanged compared to 2018, the "budget" of kilometers defined in the Climate Protection Act by 2023 would be exhausted by the course of 2027.

 

"Either we achieve our climate goals, or we let road traffic continue to grow. Trying to reconcile both is impossible. There is still money for the expansion of highways, while the continued funding of the 49-euro ticket remains uncertain," criticized T&E analyst Benedikt Heyl.

The NGO therefore demands that investments primarily flow into short routes as well as affordable and safe local and long-distance transport. The political goal must be an efficient transport system that ensures access to mobility for everyone and does not one-sidedly promote individual car mobility at the expense of taxpayers. Road traffic accounts for the majority of emissions summarized by the Climate Protection Act in the transport sector target. In 2021, the transport sector emitted 148 million tons of CO2e, according to the T&E analysis. Of this, only three million tons were attributable to rail, air, and sea transport, with the rest attributed to road traffic.

Translated automatically from German.
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