Motointegrator Study "Automotive Nation in Transition": The Mobility Transition Stalls

The study, which is a new edition of the 2023 published study "Nation of Cars in Transition," shows which regions are driving the change and which electric cars are the most popular in Germany.

Federal Government's Goal in Distant Future

Germany will surpass 1.4 million electric cars in 2024, which corresponds to 2.86 percent in Germany. Thus, the ambitious goal of the federal government of 15 million by 2030 seems far off. This year, fewer electric cars will be registered than last year. While 11.7 percent of new registrations are fully electric cars this year, it was 14.2 percent during the same period last year. Overall, 18.42 percent of all new cars last year were fully electric.

Forecast Predicts Significantly Fewer E-Cars

A regional disparity is emerging, as the East, with a share of only 1.55 percent E-cars (1.13 percent the previous year), is significantly behind the West, with 3.10 percent E-cars (2.24 percent the previous year) - the forecast predicts only around 4.4 million electric cars by 2030, instead of the targeted 15 million. The federal government has set a goal of 15 million E-cars by the year 2030,which was also reviewed through a forecast based on the underlying data.

"The goal of 15 million E-cars in Germany by 2030 is not only at risk at the moment, but actually nearly unattainable," said Anna Ganska, CEO of Motointegrator. According to the latest projections, about 4.4 million fully electric cars will be on the roads in Germany in 2030, 10.6 million E-cars less than the federal government's target, and thus not even a third!