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mein-dienstrad.de: Pedelecs benefit from the pandemic

Ronald Bankowsky, founder and senior advisor of mein-dienstrad.de, looks positively to the year ahead despite the supply bottlenecks. He believes that the pedelec, in particular, is receiving a boost due to the pandemic, as an alternative to cars and public transport. A guest article that provides a glimpse behind the scenes of a complex problem.

The pedelec as a car replacement? At least at mein-dienstrad.de, it is also seen as an even more important alternative as a consequence of the pandemic. | Photo: Diamant
The pedelec as a car replacement? At least at mein-dienstrad.de, it is also seen as an even more important alternative as a consequence of the pandemic. | Photo: Diamant
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Johannes Reichel

Even though we probably all would have preferred to avoid Corona, the pandemic has also brought positive effects. To escape the often overcrowded public transport, many people have opted for bicycles, giving the already growing industry a true booster. However, despite very high demand, the industry could not surpass the previous year's record in 2021: the reason was supply chain issues. But I firmly believe that things will improve again in 2022. Material shortages, rising raw material prices, a blocked Suez Canal: 2021 did not make it easy for the global market, and the bicycle world was not spared either. The increasing demand posed challenges for manufacturers and retailers, especially with the numerous components of a bicycle. Whether brakes, saddles, or accessories – those who didn't stay on the ball often ended up empty-handed. Particularly the electronic components of an e-bike, such as semiconductors in the motor or batteries, were in short supply and showed the dependence on the Asian market.

"We are dealing with a very complex issue here that has resulted from the pandemic. Many people bought new computers and laptops while working from home. And due to the various lockdowns which made leisure activities in public spaces almost impossible, the demand for consumer electronics has also increased significantly."

 

First, the producers could not keep up, and then the suppliers of raw materials, who were of course also affected by the shutdown of public life. Eventually, it also hit the cyclists: the raw materials needed for e-bikes, such as copper, cobalt, or lithium, became scarce. Many companies sought alternative products, so it didn't have to be the original saddle, for example, or they contracted new suppliers. But the struggle for components was complicated, and many firms hoarded everything they could get. Often, the prices for end customers had to be raised after all. For example, plastic granulate alone became nearly 70 percent more expensive within a quarter in 2021. Rising freight costs and price increases from suppliers also impacted consumer prices. For people looking to buy a new bike, it was thus an expensive year with sometimes long waiting times.

Leasing business: Almost all wishes were fulfillable

It was quite different in the leasing sector, as our experiences in recent months have shown. Through collaboration with numerous dealers across Germany, we were able to provide almost all customers with their desired bike - even without significant waiting times. And still, people could afford an e-bike, for whom purchasing one would have been unaffordable. More and more employers are offering their employees this model, and even more self-employed individuals and freelancers are increasingly turning to it.

Market Will Recover Quickly - E-Bikes Remain a Driving Force

So, how will the market develop in 2022? The German Bicycle Trade Association had forecasted in August that normalization could not be expected until the end of 2024. I don't see it quite so critically. A study by BBE Trade Consulting and the IFH Cologne Retail Research Institute shows that we have probably almost left the valley behind us and that the market is likely to recover quickly. This also aligns with the discussions we have with our partners:

Many companies expect that the supply bottlenecks will be overcome during the year. E-bikes remain the big trend – they already accounted for 70 percent of the total market in 2020.

The prices are currently still at an average of 2,600 euros. Due to supply problems with raw materials, we have to be lucky that prices remain constant. They are more likely to rise, which is why the importance of the leasing sector will continue to increase.

In the summer of 2021, then-Transport Minister Andreas Scheuer set the goal that Germany should become a bicycle country by 2030. The new government should adhere to this – and more than has been announced so far in the coalition agreement.

The Federal Association for the Future of the Bicycle, of which we are a founding member, has published a catalog of demands for the government on the transport transition. It is primarily about more mobility and less CO² emissions, for example through bicycle-friendly infrastructure and funding programs that support "bike sharing".

The bicycle is and remains the transportation of the future. At the moment, it helps us to keep our distance and not be packed closely together on the subway and bus on our way to work. In the long term, it is a crucial factor in countering climate change. More and more people are already commuting to work with a company bicycle, doing something for their health, nature, and their wallet. It is therefore a mode of transportation that benefits all sides.

Translated automatically from German.
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