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Dataforce: Electrification of van fleets is slowly gaining momentum

A study foresees the twilight of diesel in passenger cars: more gasoline vehicles than diesels in fleets. However, diesel remains dominant in commercial vehicles. This could change quickly. StreetScooter acts as a driver, with Mercedes, Renault, VW, Stellantis, and Ford following suit.

Unloved driver: Even though Deutsche Post wants to get rid of the StreetScooter, the brand has given an important impetus to the electrification of the van market and makes up 44 percent of all new registrations for electric vans. The XL version was produced by Ford based on the Transit. An electric factory version of the Transit with rear-wheel drive will follow at the beginning of 2022. | Photo: DPDHL
Unloved driver: Even though Deutsche Post wants to get rid of the StreetScooter, the brand has given an important impetus to the electrification of the van market and makes up 44 percent of all new registrations for electric vans. The XL version was produced by Ford based on the Transit. An electric factory version of the Transit with rear-wheel drive will follow at the beginning of 2022. | Photo: DPDHL
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von Johannes Reichel

For the first and only time so far, more gasoline cars than diesel cars were registered in fleets in September 2021. This was reported by fleet statistics specialist Dataforce following a recent analysis of e-mobility. Cumulatively, for the period from January to October 2021, the share of diesel vehicles is below the 40 percent mark. By contrast, electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids have seen a sharp increase and have now "become mainstream," accounting for a total of 30 percent of new car registrations. Many fleets also use or exclusively use vans. However, alternative drives still occupy a niche there. Van fleets have traditionally been diesel-oriented due to their usage purposes, the analysts state. Between 2010 and 2020, the share of diesel vehicles never fell below 90 percent; in some years, it was even 95 percent. Even this year, a trend away from diesel is not yet truly discernible.

"In the period from January to October 2021, 9 out of 10 newly registered vans are still equipped with a diesel engine, and the share has only fallen by less than one percentage point compared to the previous year. So, the wave of electrification still seems to be forthcoming. Hybrids and plug-in hybrids, as well as gas vehicles, still do not play a real role, accounting together for not even one percent," the analysts state.

At least the data specialists note that something is happening with electric drive van models. Since May, their registration numbers have consistently been higher than those of gasoline models. In October, the electric vans achieved their highest market share to date with 9.4 percent. Cumulatively, the electric rate this year amounts to 5.2 percent compared to 3.8 percent for gasoline models.

StreetScooter as a Driver of Electrification

As the driving force behind the still manageable but gradually emerging trend toward electric vehicles, one primarily sees a manufacturer that actually did not want to be one: StreetScooter. For the brand originally founded due to a lack of electric delivery vehicles, Deutsche Post has reportedly found a buyer in Odin Automotive. It is clear that the brand accounts for 44 percent of all new electric vehicle registrations this year with its Work, Work L, and Work XL series. Mercedes follows in second place with a 19 percent share. The Stuttgart-based company now offers three pure electric models with the Sprinter, Vito, and EQV. Renault ranks third in the brand ranking with 10 percent, followed by Opel, VW, and Nissan. The Japanese brand, with its e-NV200, is considered one of the electric pioneers and the model is very successful at the European level.

Fleet Managers Open to E-Drives

The data analysts also query the fundamental willingness of fleet managers. The Dataforce E-Mobility Study 2021 showed that more than one in three of the over 400 fleet managers surveyed could imagine using electric transporters in their fleet in the future. So, there is "only" a need for the corresponding model offers, and progress is being made in this area. This includes VW Commercial Vehicles or especially the newly formed Stellantis Group with the brands Opel, Citroen, and Peugeot. Much is also expected from Ford. In addition to the already available Transit/Tourneo Custom with plug-in hybrid drive, the large Transit will also come in an electric version at the beginning of next year. Renault is already following up with the second generation of the Kangoo, which is also coming from Mercedes and Nissan, as well as an update to the Master Z.E. So the electric train could quickly gain speed with vans.

Translated automatically from German.
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