Dataforce Analysis: Electric Vehicles Increase in Fleets, Private Buyers Prefer Gasoline
In March 2023, the German passenger car market continued to recover, according to the latest analysis by the analytics agency Dataforce. New registrations climbed by 16.6 percent compared to March 2022. However, new registrations have not yet reached the pre-Corona demand, according to the analysts. To reach the average of the years 2015-2019, the market would need to grow by another 21 percent. However, the recovery has been barely noticeable among private customers so far. Their new registrations grew by a meager 2.1 percent in March.
The "Relevant Fleet Market" is racing to new records
The situation is significantly better for company cars. Due to their high mileage of an average of around 30,000 km per year, they need to be replaced regularly, according to the analysts. Due to the supply chain issues of recent years, a lot of demand has built up. Thus, the Relevant Fleet Market, with growth of 23.8 percent, has significantly outperformed the overall market. Furthermore, with 96,022 new registrations, it is the second-highest monthly figure, after December 2022, in Dataforce's records, which go back to 2001. Additionally, the fleet market was the most important sales channel, even ahead of the private market, in all three months of the year so far.
Slow normalization in tactical registrations
Self-registrations by manufacturers (+22.5%), dealerships (+20.8%), and rental car companies (+43.7%) also increased significantly in March. However, the high percentage increases are primarily due to the low comparative values. Compared to the average of the years 2015-2019, 33 percent fewer passenger cars are reaching the market through these special influences. Currently, only a few car buyers can find bargains with heavily discounted one-day registrations.
The Germans Have More Appetite for Combustion Engines
The elimination of the environmental bonus and falling fuel prices have reignited interest in combustion engines, according to specialists. Gasoline and gasoline hybrids grew slightly stronger at +28.4 percent compared to electric cars at +28.0 percent. The sales of diesel vehicles also increased by 14 percent. However, the growth in self-igniters was driven solely by fleets (+24%) and other commercial registrations (+13%), while diesel registrations by private customers fell by 6 percent.
Fleet Operators Discover BEVs
The fastest-growing type of fuel also shows a distinction between fleet and private markets. With an increase of 16 percent, gasoline cars are leading among private customers. Fleet operators recorded the highest growth with 52 percent in battery-electric vehicles (BEVs). Both groups agree only on plug-in hybrids, which lost 57 percent among private customers and 31 percent in fleets.
Van Market Significantly Stronger Than Car Market
The van market lagged behind the car market in March. New registrations of light commercial vehicles and car utilities climbed exactly 10 percent in March. A look at market segments shows why the van market is recovering more slowly. All commercial channels had above-average growth, while the private market fell by 6.7 percent. A deeper analysis is not yet possible in the preliminary figures. However, in recent months, sharply declining motorhome registrations have dragged down the private channel, while businesses continued to have a high demand for commercial vehicles.
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