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Climate Protection & Traffic: What Works Is Not Wanted

A GDV survey among the middle generation shows that many climate protection measures in traffic are considered ineffective - because they are undesirable and inconvenient. A case of "cognitive dissonance".

Hidden: Only a minority of 11 percent consider a ban on combustion engines to be effective, and only a quarter of the middle generation believe in higher purchase incentives for electric cars. | Photo: Compleo
Hidden: Only a minority of 11 percent consider a ban on combustion engines to be effective, and only a quarter of the middle generation believe in higher purchase incentives for electric cars. | Photo: Compleo
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Johannes Reichel

The latest representative survey by the Allensbach Institute for Public Opinion Research, commissioned by the GDV Insurance Association, among 30 to 59-year-olds (Generation Middle) has revealed a significant discrepancy in the assessment of effective measures on the topic of climate protection and mobility. Confronted with a list of 18 measures available to politicians for increased climate protection, the annually surveyed participants could select and rate as many factors as they wanted as effective or less effective.

When asked, "What do you see as effective measures for more climate protection?" suggestions such as "No new registration of cars with petrol or diesel engines" (11%), "higher prices for fossil fuels" (12%), "higher taxes for cars with high greenhouse gas emissions" (24%), "higher prices for air travel" (37%), "cap on greenhouse gas emissions" (38%), "general speed limit on highways" (40%), "expansion of bike paths" (40%) were considered relatively less effective. On the other hand, two-thirds of the 1,055 representatives of the "Generation Middle" deemed "research funding for the development of new climate-friendly drives and fuels" or "lower prices for train tickets and public transport" as well as the "rapid expansion of renewable energies" as highly effective.

Scientifically proven effectiveness diametrically opposed

The evaluations are diametrically opposed to the findings and calculations of scientists and researchers, who were surveyed as part of the Ariadne project among 25 universities and research institutions in Germany in October 2021, as Spiegel Online has now compared. The scientists attribute the highest effectiveness in terms of greenhouse gas savings to a "higher price for fuels." The range here is from 6.6 to 42.6 megatons of CO2 per year. The tightening of CO2 limits for passenger cars also receives high effectiveness ratings from researchers, with annual CO2 savings ranging from 2.3 to 20 megatons.

Passenger Car Toll and Abolition of Diesel Privilege Could Achieve a Lot

A passenger car toll linked to mileage (12.8 mt CO2/year) and free public transport (2.6-3.8 mg CO2/year) are also top measures. The abolition of the diesel privilege is also highly effective and could save 3.7 megatons of CO2 per year. Shifting more goods to rail could achieve 1.8 to 3.5 mt, a speed limit could also achieve 2 to 3.5 mt, a ban on combustion engines in cities could contribute to a reduction of 2.7 mt CO2, and parking management could achieve a reduction of up to 1.4 mt CO2. Estimates for the effectiveness of expanding cycling infrastructure vary widely from 0.1 to 1.3 mt CO2/year, while expanding public transport could save up to 0.2 to 0.4 mt CO2, CO2-based vehicle taxation could achieve up to 0.3 mt CO2 savings, and an aviation tax would achieve only 0.1 mt reduction.

Not Either-Or - But Both-And

The results clearly show that it is not a few but rather all of these measures that are needed to meet climate targets in transport and achieve the targeted reduction of 80 million tons of CO2 by 2030. The conclusion for the Allensbach researchers is obvious: "All measures that require sacrifices are less popular." Sociologists refer to this as cognitive dissonance: What is undesirable is immediately stamped as ineffective. As a result, effective climate protection measures are perceived as less effective by respondents, even though they should know better.

Climate Crisis: Only a Quarter Feel Personally Threatened

Only a quarter of the mid-generation considers the climate crisis to be a strong or very strong personal threat (26 percent), but 69 percent think it is for future generations. Consequently, climate change only ranks seventh in response to the question: "What worries you the most?". The mid-generation is far more concerned about rising prices (72 percent), potential tax increases (61 percent) than about climate change (42 percent). The Allensbach researchers summarize this attitude with the conclusion: "Fight against climate change? Yes, but not at my expense."

Translated automatically from German.
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